Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 4.379430 4.783690 5.231744 5.769859 6.405026 7.139279 8.065021
2025-11-23 3.842940 4.379390 5.019043 5.854949 6.945973 8.365076 10.432984
2025-11-30 3.490561 4.081474 4.818863 5.837336 7.263128 9.289307 12.617013
2025-12-07 3.155693 3.750543 4.514905 5.610275 7.220176 9.661374 14.068776
2025-12-14 2.883488 3.467775 4.234866 5.364998 7.089727 9.845510 15.241783
2025-12-21 2.737736 3.335310 4.138672 5.359772 7.306555 10.620001 17.824132
2025-12-28 2.601708 3.203021 4.027276 5.313296 7.442157 11.276800 20.498951
2026-01-04 2.438559 3.021470 3.830116 5.112543 7.287023 11.352944 21.846352
2026-01-11 2.347132 2.933388 3.759960 5.100532 7.451334 12.090854 25.437393
2026-01-18 2.300971 2.905372 3.774251 5.222541 7.871548 13.482161 32.337762
2026-01-25 2.439912 3.152217 4.222296 6.123887 9.981667 19.858307 76.048403
2026-02-01 2.308796 2.990734 4.020476 5.864491 9.654152 19.606785 81.445162
2026-02-08 2.172944 2.826724 3.822142 5.626979 9.415492 19.799145 95.589186
2026-02-15 2.107859 2.767705 3.790872 5.698372 9.901607 22.670397 173.945046
2026-02-22 2.033132 2.688475 3.718918 5.681948 10.178872 25.094194 348.072410
2026-03-01 1.929513 2.558588 3.553225 5.464571 9.913311 25.233486 501.757609
2026-03-08 1.830984 2.432220 3.386177 5.229505 9.563944 24.862438 666.017168
2026-03-15 1.779527 2.377371 3.336798 5.224493 9.816260 27.457781 6503.472590
2026-03-22 1.725513 2.315712 3.271543 5.179919 9.954117 29.709100 NaN
2026-03-29 1.651512 2.219066 3.140451 4.987261 9.642620 29.309138 NaN
2026-04-05 1.610844 2.174299 3.097468 4.975728 9.851433 32.233360 NaN
2026-04-12 1.592179 2.164042 3.114245 5.092848 10.474650 38.973836 NaN
2026-04-19 1.673001 2.320921 3.443782 5.955900 13.933363 91.709715 NaN